Band 313
Sequential Binary Investment Decisions A Bayesian Approach
Aus der Reihe
Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
-
- Englisch ausgewählt
Fr. 137.00
inkl. gesetzl. MwSt.,
Beschreibung
Produktdetails
Einband
Taschenbuch
Erscheinungsdatum
27.07.1988
Abbildungen
VI, 156 p.
Verlag
Springer BerlinSeitenzahl
156
Maße (L/B/H)
24.4/17/1 cm
Gewicht
302 g
Auflage
Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1988
Sprache
Englisch
ISBN
978-3-540-50034-6
This book describes some models from the theory of investment which are mainly characterized by three features. Firstly, the decision-maker acts in a dynamic environment. Secondly, the distributions of the random variables are only incompletely known at the beginning of the planning process. This is termed as decision-making under conditions of uncer tainty. Thirdly, in large parts of the work we restrict the analysis to binary decision models. In a binary model, the decision-maker must choose one of two actions. For example, one decision means to undertake the invest ·ment project in a planning period, whereas the other decision prescribes to postpone the project for at least one more period. The analysis of dynamic decision models under conditions of uncertainty is not a very common approach in economics. In this framework the op timal decisions are only obtained by the extensive use of methods from operations research and from statistics. It is the intention to narrow some of the existing gaps in the fields of investment and portfolio analysis in this respect. This is done by combining techniques that have been devel oped in investment theory and portfolio selection, in stochastic dynamic programming, and in Bayesian statistics. The latter field indicates the use of Bayes' theorem for the revision of the probability distributions of the random variables over time.
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